Michael Saylor’s Strategy is moving faster than Bitcoin itself. The company, formerly called MicroStrategy, has built its entire identity around Bitcoin ownership, stacking up 499,096 BTC on its balance sheet—almost 2.4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist.
But while Bitcoin struggles to hold momentum, Strategy’s stock is soaring, leaving investors questioning whether this is a real shift or just a temporary bubble.
Strategy doubles down on Bitcoin while the market hesitates
Bitcoin has been the play for financial independence. With 21 million coins hard-coded as the max supply, it has been called digital gold, a hedge against inflation, and the future of money. It is decentralized, borderless, and immune to government interference.
Institutions have been piling in for years—Tesla, BlackRock, and even countries like El Salvador have put Bitcoin on their balance sheets. Adoption is still growing, and the network’s hash rate in 2025 is at all-time highs, making it nearly impossible to attack. Transactions are up, proving Bitcoin is being used, not just held.
But prices tell a different story. Bitcoin has struggled despite all the bullish fundamentals. And that has put companies tied to it—especially Strategy—under pressure. The firm is not just buying Bitcoin, it is using debt to buy more, making its stock a high-stakes leveraged play on Bitcoin’s future.
This move has worked so far. In 2024, Strategy was the second-best performing stock in the Russell 1000, delivering a 358.5% total return—three times Bitcoin’s own gains. Investors have been willing to pay extra for exposure to Bitcoin through Michael Saylor’s financial engineering.
As of March 14, 2024, Strategy’s 499,096 BTC was worth $42 billion, but the company’s market cap was sitting at $77.4 billion. Add in its debt, and the enterprise value was $84.6 billion. The stock was trading at double the value of the Bitcoin it holds.
Michael, who has been pushing the Bitcoin Standard for years, made no apologies for the company’s aggressive strategy. “We see Bitcoin as the best asset in the world, and we are structuring our company around that belief,” he said.
Leverage fuels growth, but the risks are stacking up
Strategy isn’t just betting on Bitcoin—it’s borrowing billions to buy more. That leverage has amplified the gains, but it also means the stock can crash twice as hard if Bitcoin drops.
Since the start of 2024, Bitcoin’s price has declined. But instead of following suit, Strategy has climbed 2.7% year-to-date. The stock isn’t just trading on Bitcoin’s value anymore—it has become a premium speculation play.
The danger? The premium could vanish overnight. If Bitcoin drops further, Strategy’s debt-heavy balance sheet could become a liability.
A trader looking to hedge against a potential drop might consider a June $250/$200 put spread, betting that Strategy’s stock price will fall. By buying one $250 put at $30 per contract and selling two $200 puts at $15 per contract each, the trader would make money if the stock lands between $150 and $250 by June.
But if Strategy collapses below $200, the trader is forced to buy shares at that price. With Strategy’s book value at roughly $150 per share, that could still be an expensive bet.
Wall Street braces for more volatility
Bitcoin is not the only asset facing pressure. The entire market is feeling the weight of uncertainty.
Deutsche Bank’s chief strategist, Binky Chadha, has warned that the sell-off in U.S. equities isn’t over.
“We see the sell-off in U.S. equities as having further to go,” Binky wrote. “With trade policy uncertainty likely to continue to weigh, at least until April 2, we expect positioning to continue to unwind.”
Binky believes that if the S&P 500 drops another 6.9%, it will put even more pressure on Bitcoin and Strategy. The benchmark index, which closed at 5,638.94 on Friday, is already 8% off its all-time high.
And it’s not just about trade policy. Executives at major corporations are cutting spending and lowering earnings forecasts.
The one thing that could stop the bleeding? Donald Trump.
Wall Street has long believed in a “Trump put”—the idea that Trump will adjust policies to stabilize markets if things get too bad. But Binky is not so sure.
“Compared to the level of consumer confidence, the current approval rating is high, implying plenty of room for downside with negative growth or inflation developments likely to speed the catch down,” Binky said. “We expect the net approval rating has to turn more significantly negative, at least -5%, before the administration starts to consider responding.”
For now, Trump’s policies have not been enough to stop the market’s decline. But Binky still holds a bullish year-end target of 7,000 for the S&P 500, suggesting that once the uncertainty clears, stocks—including Bitcoin and Strategy—could stage a major rebound.
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Our Bitcoin price prediction expects BTC’s price to reach $160K by the end of 2025 due to the bullish sentiment following the halving event.
By 2031, BTC might touch $350,548 following increased institutional adoption.
Bitcoin’s value struggled throughout February, enduring significant downturns. On February 27, the cryptocurrency dropped steeply, falling below $78,000 for the first time in more than three months. Analysis of on-chain data suggests that the decrease was largely driven by sell-offs from “Bitcoin tourists”—newcomers to the trading scene.
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin’s price has doubled, but it has seen a notable 45% increase in just the two weeks following the presidential election. This boost has solidified Bitcoin’s role in the so-called “Trump trade,” with the president-elect’s positive stance on the cryptocurrency industry fueling investor optimism about this emerging asset class.
As Bitcoin’s on-chain activities surge, questions arise, such as: “Does Bitcoin have the potential to hold above the $100K mark?” or “Will Bitcoin go up?” or “Where will Bitcoin be in 5 years?” Let’s answer them using our Bitcoin price prediction.
Overview
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin
Ticker
BTC
Price
$84,246
Market cap
$1,238,914,422,643
Trading volume
$22,318,495,561
Circulating supply
19,719,062
All-time high
$108,268, December 17, 2024
All-time low
$0.04865, Jul 15, 2010
24-hour high
$84,874
24-hour low
$83,859
Bitcoin price prediction: Technical analysis
Metric
Value
Current Price
$84,246
Price Prediction
$ 123,720 (46.23%)
Fear & Greed Index
20 (Extreme Fear)
Sentiment
Bearish
Volatility
4.86%
Green Days
12/30 (40%)
50-Day SMA
$ 98,051
200-Day SMA
$ 82,082
14-Day RSI
25.03
Bitcoin price analysis
TL;DR Breakdown:
BTC price analysis continues to face bearish pressure below $85K
Resistance for BTC is at $85,199.
Support for BTC/USD is at $79,904.
The BTC price analysis for 17 March confirms that the BTC price continues to face bearish domination below $85K. Currently, buyers are attempting to send the price above $85K but bears are strongly defending a surge.
Analyzing the daily Bitcoin price chart, we see that BTC faces strong bearish pressure below $85K. Currently, the price of BTC is facing a strong battle between the buyers and sellers in validating a clear trend. The 24-hour volume has dropped to $1.5 billion, raising interest in trading today. BTC is trading at $84,246, dropping by over 0.5% in the last 24 hours.
The RSI-14 trend line has surged from its previous level and trades around the buying region at 44, hinting that bullish pressure is on the edge. The SMA-14 level suggests volatility in the next few hours.
BTC/USD 4-hour price chart: Bulls aim for an immediate correction
The 4-hour Bitcoin price chart suggests that bears are strengthening their position to hold the price below the EMA trend lines. However, bulls maintain buying confidence as the BTC price aims for an upward correction.
The BoP indicator trades in a bullish region at 0.57, showing that short-term buyers are taking a chance to accelerate an upward trend.
Additionally, the MACD trend line has formed green candles above the signal line, and the indicator aims for positive momentum, strengthening long-position holders’ confidence.
Bitcoin technical indicators: Levels and action
Daily simple moving average (SMA)
Period
Value
Action
SMA 3
$ 86,770
SELL
SMA 5
$ 87,160
SELL
SMA 10
$ 92,711
SELL
SMA 21
$ 94,681
SELL
SMA 50
$ 98,051
SELL
SMA 100
$ 97,213
SELL
SMA 200
$ 82,082
BUY
Daily exponential moving average (EMA)
Period
Value
Action
EMA 3
$ 94,772
SELL
EMA 5
$ 95,901
SELL
EMA 10
$ 96,446
SELL
EMA 21
$ 96,635
SELL
EMA 50
$ 94,992
SELL
EMA 100
$ 88,764
SELL
EMA 200
$ 79,419
BUY
What to expect from BTC price analysis next?
The hourly price chart confirms that Bitcoin is attempting to drop below the immediate support line; however, bulls are eyeing a recovery rally in the coming hours. If BTC’s price holds momentum above $85,199, it will fuel a bullish rally to $92,258.
BTC Price Chart
If bulls fail to initiate a surge, the BTC price may drop below the immediate support line at $79,904, beginning a bearish trend to $75,668.
Is Bitcoin a good investment?
The rising institutional demand for Bitcoin makes it a good investment option. However, Bitcoin has a short investment history filled with very volatile prices. Whether it is a good investment depends on your financial profile, investment portfolio, risk tolerance, and investment goals.
Why is Bitcoin up today?
Following the overall buying sentiment, BTC price faced a minor demand and surged toward the high of $85K but failed to surge further.
Will the BTC price reach $100K?
Bitcoin price recently broke its much-anticipated mark of $100K, forming a new ATH. The price is currently aims to maintain its buying demand above $100K.
Will BTC reach $1 million?
$1 million is a significant milestone for the BTC price. However, it is achievable if Bitcoin continues to attract institutional interest in the coming years.
Is Bitcoin a good long-term investment?
As several institutions continue to accumulate BTC and Bitcoin faces a rise in global recognition, Bitcoin has a solid long-term future.
Recent news/opinions on BTC
According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin ETFs faced $275.83 million in net outflows on Feb. 27, 2025, pushing the week’s total net outflows to $2.71 billion.
Bitcoin price prediction March 2025
February was the reddest month for Bitcoin since June 2022, when the world’s largest cryptocurrency’s performance was -37.28 %. According to crypto data provider Santiment, Bitcoin whales and sharks have dumped ~6,813 coins since last week, which is the largest drop since last July. Will the BTC price recover in March 2025?
Bitcoin’s price might attempt to maintain an average price of $89,000 and be pushed further, at least $95,000 if strong downward pressures are not seen. However, we might see a rejection on the bearish side, leading to a consolidation at around $72,000.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Potential Low
Potential Average
Potential High
Bitcoin Price Prediction March 2025
$72,000
$89,000
$95,000
Bitcoin price prediction 2025
Historically, Bitcoin has been a significant crypto coin in the year following a halving, and it is expected to push up its price. Bitcoin miners might play a crucial role in holding bullish sentiment for future price movements.
Bitcoin spot ETFs are projected to be a key driver of Bitcoin prices and the broader cryptocurrency market in 2025.
Furthermore, there is an increasing bullish sentiment that the base interest rates could be cut in the US, and thus, help to further the upward movement of Bitcoin. An outcome of which the 2025 year could be positive for Bitcoin, with its crypto-price perhaps touching $160,000 at the highest and the low could be around $95,000.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Potential Low
Potential Average
Potential High
Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025
$95,000
$120,000
$160,000
Bitcoin Price Predictions 2026-2031
Year
Minimum Price
Average Price
Maximum Price
2026
$115,000
$130,000
$185,000
2027
$140,491
$170,100
$216,738
2028
$164,063
$185,068
$244,142
2029
$195,629
$200,312
$255,321
2030
$225,903
$248,568
$270,593
2031
$285,058
$303,555
$350,548
Bitcoin price prediction 2026
Bitcoin might witness slow growth after 2025’s halving surge, resulting in a surge in selling pressure. However, more financial products including a surge in ETF demand might hold BTC prices within a bullish region. We might see a maximum price of $185,000, with a minimum price of $115,000 and average price of $130,000. However, BitMEX Ceo Arthur Hayes predicted the BTC price to touch $700K in 2026.
Bitcoin price prediction 2027
Based on a detailed technical analysis of past Bitcoin price data, it is projected that in 2027, Bitcoin could see a minimum price of $140,491. The potential maximum price is estimated to be $216,738, with an average value of $170,100.
Bitcoin price prediction 2028
By 2028, Bitcoin’s price is expected to reach a low of $164,063. Maximum price projections are as high as $244,142, averaging about $185,068 for the year.
Bitcoin price forecast 2029
Projections for 2029 suggest that Bitcoin could be valued at a minimum of $195,629. The price may peak at as much as $255,321, with an average throughout the year expected to be around $200,312.
Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction 2030
The forecast for 2030 suggests that Bitcoin’s price could start at a minimum of $225,903 and potentially rise to a maximum of $270,593. The average price is anticipated to stabilize at about $248,568 throughout the year.
Bitcoin price prediction 2031
The forecast for 2030 suggests that Bitcoin’s price could start at a minimum of $285,058 and potentially rise to a maximum of $350,548. The average price is anticipated to stabilize at about $303,555 throughout the year.
CoinCodex predicts Bitcoin’s price could reach $158,827 by 2025, using the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart based on past volatility and the cyclical nature of Bitcoin Halving events.
Cathie Wood of Ark Invest forecasts Bitcoin may hit $600,000 by 2030, with a potential rise to $1.5 million in her bull case scenario after Bitcoin ETF approval.
Cryptopolitan’s Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction
At Cryptopolitan, we are bullish on Bitcoin’s future price as the historical market sentiment is extremely impressive. By the end of 2025, Bitcoin might record a maximum of $160,000, with a minimum price of $95,000 and an average price of $120,000.
However, the future market potential for Bitcoin entirely depends on its buying demand, regulation, and investor sentiment in long-term holding.
We expect Bitcoin price to reach a high of $216,000 by the end of 2027.
Bitcoin historic price sentiment
BTC price history | Coinmarketcap
Satoshi Nakamoto created Bitcoin in 2009, marking the first use of blockchain technology.
Bitcoin was initially of little value, gaining significant traction and hitting over $15,000 during the 2017 boom, with further highs reached in 2019 and 2021.
In 2021, Bitcoin peaked at $68,789.63 but dropped to $15,760 by December 2022 amid economic pressures, including inflation and geopolitical conflicts.
By April 10, 2023, Bitcoin’s price surged 83%, breaking the $30,000 resistance level.
Throughout mid-2023, Bitcoin’s value hovered around $30,000, nearly reaching $32,000 due to positive market sentiments and potential ETF approvals.
Bitcoin experienced a significant price drop in mid-August 2023, falling to $25,000. However, its prices remained volatile, fluctuating between $26,000 and $29,500 in October.
Bitcoin closed 2023 above $42,000, a 155% increase from the year’s start.
In early 2024, Bitcoin rose above $45,000 on ETF anticipation but briefly dipped below $40,000 after approvals. It broke its 2021 all-time high in March, reaching $73,750.07 on March 14, before dropping below $60,000 in April. May saw another surge above $70,000, while June and July brought heavy fluctuations between $70K and $55K.
Bitcoin rallied to $66K in September after a Fed rate cut, climbed to $70K in October’s Uptober rally, and surged toward $108K following Donald Trump’s victory in the November US elections. BTC ended 2024 consolidating below $95K.
At the start of January 2025, BTC was trading between $92,788.13 and $95,824.39. However, it formed an ATH at $109,114 on January 20.
In recent weeks of February, the price of BTC dropped heavily as it dropped toward the $78K low.
